Hi Gary/Bet Vegas followers and fans,
OK well our first full week of NFL Picks picked up basically where we left off last season and really the past 10 season, with a nice profit as we went (4-2) overall. After our very easy Bills win on the Thursday night Opening Kickoff Game over the Rams, we went (3-2) on Sunday. We passed Monday.
Our Steelers (+7) pick won straight up and the cover was a wire to wire winner. The Defense was sensational turning the Bengals over and over and over. They still gave up a ton of yards though and now lost TJ Watt. Ouch! Now I am much higher on Mitch T at QB than most and although his numbers were fantastic he did come up big on final drive with two sensational scrambles out of near sacks to lead team to winning FG.
Next up was a losing pick on Eagles (-4 1/2) as they scored at will and led by 17 heading to 4th quarter. Then they got sloppy and got backdoored on a late Lions TD. I’d be upset but to be honest the Eagles D did not play well at all. I was very surprised as I thought they were coming in with a solid and very improved D (and added good depth). They deserved to win the game but the Cover God’s of course didn’t allow the leaky D to grab our cover. Game closed (-6 1/2) so we had the best line value. Most times that will work in our favor.
Next we had the Vikings (+1 1/2), a straight up easy winner over GB by 16. When GB had a drop pass on first pass of game (would’ve been a TD) you could sense we had something going in our favor. Look many Cappers will say how awesome the pick was. I won’t. The Packers D was brutal and the Offense kept dropping passes. Vikes stud WR just ran free (as in wide open) all game long. Let’s not call Kirk Cousins a magic man as you and me would’ve had big days being that wide open. Yes we won. I’ll take it. GB Offense started slow as I expected with so many new WR’s.
Late we had two late game Totals. One turned out to be a winner and one a loser. KC scored at will leading our KC/AZ – “OVER 53 1/2” to a nice winner. This though another game aided by Arizona going for it over and over in second half and scoring the TD we needed to cash – on fourth and goal and a nice Murray scramble for TD pass! He misses that TD we may have not gotten the Over cashed. In end game gets 65 total points.
Last we lose with Raiders/Chargers – “OVER 52” not getting there. The Raiders OL was simply awful. I knew they’d not be great but didn’t forecast that showing. Not a terrible pick but definitely wrong side.
In end (4-2) we will take week in and week out. I definitely learned a lot and that learning should carry over to a nice Week 2 again. Let’s keep making money.
Have a great week ahead everybody.
Gary Greene