Tuesday Night November 22nd, 2022
Hi Gary Greene Fans and Followers,
Well the College Football Season is now into it’s very late stages of the regular season and the NFL Season now has 11 weeks in the books. This season is flying by and we are once again very happy with our “Gameday Picks Club” selections in both CFB and the NFL. But my happy place is and always will be COLLEGE BASKETBALL. We now have 15 days in the books and we have experienced a great overall start but also the most soul crushing start as far as “Close Losses” in any 15 day period we maybe have ever experienced in my 34 year career. In this business you always try to quickly put behind you any “bad beats”/”close losses” immediately. As for myself I always remember my “Lucky wins” as most people forget they came via some Luck. Of course it’s always nicer to win than to lose and wager I make but if you are getting Lucky over and over it’s very likely that will end soon and turn the other way as you are probably making bad picks (bad bets) and getting away with them isn’t a long term recipe for success. I hate to see those buying my picks lose any play but I also know that in reality it’s better to lose a Pick/Bet that is the “right side” then it is to win a Pick/Bet that is actually the “wrong side”.
I have been so busy the past 2 weeks I haven’t been doing a Blog article as much as I want to. Let’s look at the past few weeks Paid-“Gameday Picks Club” results. First in CFB the past few weeks have profitable but not spectacular. We are (10-7) the past two weeks and (5-3) with Best Bets. Fortunately both 2 Unit-Best Bets won, splitting (3-3) the six “1 1/2 Unit-Best Bets”. In the NFL the past two weeks have also been profitable but nothing spectacular. We had no “Best Bets” the past 2 weeks of the NFL season. Now we head over to my favorite sport to bet, College Basketball, where the new young season is now 15 days old. We couldn’t be more excited with the fantastic start to this new 2022-23 CBB season as it’s been nothing but profits since Opening Night on November 7th. We are simply destroying the Books/Bookies with an outstanding (35-16) record out the gates. Although I am normally a bigtime “Totals” Expert, we have had all Sides except for 4 Total picks so far. We have won (and all super easily by way) all three CBB “Best Bets”. Those are the happy numbers. Although we have won big out the gate these first 15 days, we have also had the most “Unlucky Losses” in a small 2 week stretch possibly my entire career. We have had only one win by 1-2 points of the pointspread (I call these Lucky Winners). But we have had a really unfortunate (9) losses by 1-2 points, with half of them coming on a 3 pointer made for the final shot to change a winning pick into a losing one. You can never cry about tough losses as I highly doubt nobody ever cried about a lucky winner. (LOL) My hope each season is that when I am sitting watching the National Championship game our final stats of Lucky Winners/Unlucky Losses is dead even. If that is the case I know I have had a very solid season. They do usually even out in the end. So my hope is over the next 15 days or month those games swing our way when the final outcome is within 1-2 points of my picks pointspreads. The gambling Gods owe us so if that swings our way we should be able to get on pace for some of our record breaking seasons of (+100 Units overall).
I want to add before CBB started and even during Week 1 I do a lot of guest Radio spots and the Hosts ask me always who are my final 4 picks. I immediately said I had no trouble picking my #1 team and my preseason Pick to cut down the nets. That pick was Univ. of Houston Cougars! I love love love this team. I have now given them all 5 of their games and won all 5. They are men playing among boys. They are smothering on Defense. Very well coached and super motivated after last year’s crushing ending in to last season when huge “key” injuries derailed a possible National Title. In the first few weeks I’ve used more of a K.I.S.S. system and that means KEEP IT SIMPLE STUPID. Teams with lots of remaining key players and more so if they are older guys (Jr’s and Sr’s), will be in sync much more over teams with New HC’s or lots of new faces/transfers. It doesn’t mean it’s an automatic pick on those teams as North Carolina (loaded again) has not meshed great thus far. They surely will….but so far not playing the type of ball early they should be returning all these studs. With many teams with 5-6 games under their belt by week’s end I will be then dialed in on even new HC teams and teams with lots of new players. I am a Duke fan and a UCLA fan. Both brought in Top 10 Freshman and so far all of those expected stud young plays has really produced. In fact they have been brutally bad. I made a Best Bet against my Dukies vs. Kansas from my great knowledge of Top 25 team and I have been dead on thru these first 15 days. Will the young kids for Duke and UCLA start to play as they were penned in to? Likely yes. But right now when Duke or UCLA plays a really solid opponent the results will still likely not be great for those young kids. They may all need 15-20 games to adjust to no longer having it super easy like they did in High School. Big names coming in doesn’t automatically mean INSTANT SUCCESS. Please use that in all your Handicapping.
If you are new to this site I have once again returned to Twitter. Please follow me there as I will give away some really cool sports gear/tickets and money as well as some updates and rants and do some fun Contests as well. GARYGREENE@BETVEGASSPORTS
If you have any questions please don’t hesitate to e-mail: [email protected]
Have a great Thanksgiving week ahead and always remember “NEVER LOSE WHAT YOU CAN’T AFFORD TO LOSE” and use Money Management always. And remember there is no such thing as a “LOCK” or “GAME OF YEAR” picks many (ok – most) Handicappers sell to the public. That’s all a Con move and you need to run for the Hills the second any Handicapper “hypes” the play with anything but “BEST BET”. Winning Pros don’t need to sell a fast play – they can slowly make you nice profits.
Let’s stay “Red Hot” in all 3 Sports for rest of the year and finish this 2022 year on a very happy/profitable note.
Gary Greene