BET VEGAS “FREE PICK”
FRESNO STATE vs. WASHINGTON STATE
SATURDAY DEC. 17th, 2022
TIME: 1230PM/PST – 330PM/EST
BOWL GAME: STIFEL BOWL
TV: ABC
VEGAS ODDS: FRESNO STATE (-3)
FREE PICK: TAKE FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS (-3) over washington state
Note: O.K. folks if you look at the records you will see Fresno State is (9-4). It’s misleading as their stud QB Haener missed 4 games and played only one half vs. USC before getting hurt. The USC game is only game he played (although partially) and the team did NOT score over 28 points. Fresno State Offensive ranking (#49) is very misleading as if he played all 13 games they’d likely have finished Top 25. They are fresh off winning Mountain West Title and now will play close to Home in LA and should get fantastic fan support.
They are facing the only Bowl team playing Friday or Saturday (*first two days of new 2022-23 Bowl Season) with an Offense and Defense not even ranked in Top 75 (rankings go #1-130). They allowed Washington in their final regular season game to gain (703) total yards. I had Washington that game as one of my few (2 1/2 Unit-Best Bets) all season and this Fresno State reminds me a lot of Washington’s Offense. They have a stud RB (Mims) – (1,161 rush yards and 16 TD’s) and a deep and talented and speedy WR corps. Eight Receivers avg. 10+ yards per catch this season and Moreno-Cropper and Remigio are two of the most under rated wide outs in the nation. Haener has thrown (18) TD’s and only (3) Interceptions this season. He is a savvy Sr. playcaller and he rarely makes mistakes. The Bulldogs Defense really improved late in the season and finished stifling Boise State’s Offense on their own Blue Turf Field (16 points allowed) and shutting out Wyoming the week prior and they allowed only (14) points the week before that with (7) points coming on final drive of the game with all the starters on Defense out of the game.
I fully expect Haener to go out with another huge win here as this is a mismatch on both sides of the ball. Fresno State should score 40 and win going away pretty easily.
Enjoy the game.
Gary Greene
Note: This Free Pick is being posted on December 11th, 2022 (Line can move either way….we released this to our Clients on that day at (-3) and will be graded on that line at the time of posting (release).